Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 95380.173576 100559.399994 105735.421084 111292.918671 117087.593902 122947.897891 129319.007781
2025-11-09 86449.502710 94329.113848 102421.100193 111341.854308 120889.674246 130791.545834 141826.211354
2025-11-16 80937.944820 90724.926356 100991.114421 112541.520882 125153.018218 138483.152747 153616.074732
2025-11-23 75878.949685 87017.392138 98912.164411 112524.835673 127636.291564 143860.816530 162560.654779
2025-11-30 72759.650190 85099.570215 98481.650199 114020.771881 131514.699432 150546.399747 172761.533160
2025-12-07 69826.061273 83141.289594 97783.328286 115009.230865 134646.986348 156262.642947 181778.243919
2025-12-14 66671.184358 80726.204195 96383.976078 115029.995268 136534.609987 160461.405703 188996.189274
2025-12-21 64042.073236 78761.453049 95358.303877 115345.460940 138643.573508 164822.235507 196335.209526
2025-12-28 62459.544941 77916.111817 95536.509056 116972.870526 142201.267578 170800.397669 205515.450085
2026-01-04 60783.513973 76866.438111 95394.219656 118153.327346 145183.191493 176081.002554 213881.695335
2026-01-11 59014.261406 75619.277331 94942.965817 118900.967967 147603.224911 180674.335032 221436.308167
2026-01-18 57094.856819 74108.431367 94103.763530 119118.790464 149340.513523 184429.880319 227989.967387
2026-01-25 55396.659428 72823.029416 93503.021661 119603.796667 151397.059165 188586.730810 235075.310660
2026-02-01 53576.178822 71322.270160 92584.613599 119654.635440 152895.195134 192061.839130 241353.865995
2026-02-08 52485.065302 70687.363417 92689.969156 120926.933050 155856.955910 197288.399691 249752.369413
2026-02-15 50831.498875 69282.828436 91789.329254 120909.187708 157202.420582 200541.517758 255763.391836
2026-02-22 50042.397080 68946.981674 92195.290263 122495.764461 160514.693744 206188.029696 264707.109801
2026-03-01 49050.101305 68311.655905 92192.355620 123543.999346 163144.083410 210999.895483 272650.418453
2026-03-08 47642.800737 67091.381308 91406.182398 123566.018025 164463.259844 214185.846030 278596.673920
2026-03-15 46446.439265 66109.166651 90889.929618 123900.541079 166152.545232 217818.529486 285099.817456
2026-03-22 45918.853779 65989.912839 91468.503526 125626.111404 169599.945960 223647.627467 294360.328891
2026-03-29 45215.716954 65611.466759 91690.591017 126877.612322 172439.286340 228725.218903 302709.519414
2026-04-05 44352.984408 64991.049330 91573.309445 127670.180846 174681.225763 233054.599611 310139.110100